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bert's blog v1.21 Powered by glolg Programmed with Perl 5.6.1 on Apache/1.3.27 (Red Hat Linux) best viewed at 1024 x 768 resolution on Internet Explorer 6.0+ or Mozilla Firefox 1.5+ entry views: 1652 today's page views: 214 (15 mobile) all-time page views: 3241407 most viewed entry: 18739 views most commented entry: 14 comments number of entries: 1213 page created Sat Apr 5, 2025 12:31:40 |
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- sport - À la carte buffet at HarbourFront's Dragon Gate Restaurant, bowled three 100+ games (131-11?-131), then logged on to Hattrick and discovered that I had lost 0-2 despite playing a counter-attacking strategy in a theoretically correct situation. Bleah. Win some, lose some. On to a quick recap of Imaginary Punting Day 0.5: $10 on Aston Villa (+1.5) vs. Liverpool (at 1.30) [STRIKE] - Villa 1, Liverpool 2, fair reflection $10 on one goal in the above match (4.20) [MISS] - was right on the mark until the 85th minute. Could have made a clean sweep. $10 on Everton to beat Wigan (1.55) [STRIKE] - 2-1, just as well I didn't take the -1.5 option. $20 on Blackburn to beat Boro (2.77) [STRIKE] - 2-1 coming from behind. Slightly lucky. Current status: $83.90 from $50. Interestingly, just about all my predictions that I didn't officially back were wrong. Sunderland surprised Spurs in a predictably close match (predicted Spurs win or score draw), Derby saved a draw against Pompey (predicted Pompey win), Newcastle mauled Bolton (predicted draw) and City gave the woeful Hammers something to chew on (predicted Hammers win). Hopefully this means that I have an idea of what I am clueless about - a magnificently useful skill to possess. So I've just got to take $17.10 from the remaining $50 to break even. I could conceivably fold now and sit pretty on $133.90/$100, but it's hardly the time to play defensively. However, the odds offered by Singapore Pools as printed in The New Paper are... conservative to say the least. They are giving just $1.50 to the dollar for a H-H in the Man Utd vs. Reading game, for instance, just a turn of the page from a British pundit's advice to grab the same bet at $2.30 from bet365. That is quite simply a huge difference. Moral of the story - if you have to bet, don't do it with our local bookmaker. The three matches coming up are: 8. Arsenal vs. Fulham 9. Chelsea vs. Birmingham 10. Man Utd vs. Reading That's three of the top four sides in the EPL at home against three mid-table-at-best clubs, no disrespect intended. Fulham flirted with relegation last term, ending up 16th, and don't seem to have improved much; Birmingham are newly promoted, while Reading frankly outdid themselves by bursting into the top half. Verdict: Three home wins, and if I could make a multiplier out of them, I would do so without hesitation. Now the sad part - Arsenal are at 1.27 for the win, and that's the longest of the trio. Chelsea are on 1.19, while United sit on 1.15. I might be tempted to throw a bit on the underdogs, since all of them offer a tenfold return at least, but I honestly can't see any of them coming out on top. The odds for a win by two goals or more aren't much tastier, at 2.00 for Arsenal, 1.67 for Chelsea and 1.58 for United. I say Arsenal might be worth a look at that price, given Fulham's uncommonly sucky away record. Chelsea not so much since they may well perform their Saturday shopkeeper act and close up after taking the lead, and United have found Reading tough customers last season. However, Reading will be without Leroy Lita, who might be in for some sniggers in the dressing room after injuring himself in bed (heh, heh). Steve Sidwell has also bailed out to Chelsea, and I rated him as one of Reading's biggest contributors. Meanwhile, United have largely impressed in the pre-season, so I'll stick my neck out this time. $10 on two goals in Chelsea vs. Birmingham (at 3.40) $20 on Arsenal (-1.5) vs. Fulham (2.00) $20 on Man Utd (-1.5) vs. Reading (1.58) Next: Back-to-School Stimulation
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