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Saturday, Aug 18, 2007 - 18:02 SGT
Posted By: Gilbert

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Round round

Preparatory paperwork is just about complete, after lugging home two 500-sheet reams of A4 paper from the co-op. Didn't manage to get PH2110/GEM2006 Logic due to the bleeping MC overload rule that kept me from bidding for it until Round 3A, so I went for MNO1001 Management and Organisation instead. The module does have entertaining readings at least, so entertaining that I got them comb-bound (extreme right in the photo below):


"All good to go?" "Yes, sir! Aye aye, sir!"

Round 2 yielded a small positive return ($111.50/$100) even as United were held again. City did just enough to overcome Derby, who do still have six teams below them in the table. I'll be supporting United against City come Sunday, though probably not backing them with my punts - there is simply better value to be taken from the other games, and United are often underpriced.

Status after Round 2: $195.40/$200.

Round 3 of the EPL, Saturday 18 August 2007:

1. Portsmouth vs. Bolton
2. Birmingham vs. West Ham
3. Wigan vs. Sunderland
4. Fulham vs. Middlesbrough
5. Reading vs. Everton
6. Tottenham vs. Derby
7. Newcastle vs. Aston Villa

Portsmouth vs. Bolton

Pompey are moderately heavy favourites, but they weren't that good against United, and didn't manage to beat Derby either. Bolton have lost to Newcastle and Fulham, but Diouf was a bright spark and they have had the beating of Pompey in recent times, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five EPL matches against them. The draw at 3.25 is appealing. 1-1.

Birmingham vs. West Ham

Birmingham have been involved in a couple of high-scoring matches, scoring twice in each of their matchups so far. They have let in five, though. The Hammers meanwhile appear to be disappointed at the lack of fireworks at their club, and have recruited Dyer in an effort to rekindle his... combustible partnership with Bowyer. 2.30 for the home 'Hams to prevail looks quite good, with 2-1 the exact score.

Wigan vs. Sunderland

Sunderland are quite something, as Keano seems to have taken United's power to steal games at the death with him when he left the club - Two late, late goals see them sitting pretty on four points instead of one. Wigan's JJB Stadium doesn't exactly strike much fear into visitors, and I see Keane making a triumphant return to Manchester. An eminently backable 2.70 return at that. 0-1 to the Sunderland.

Fulham vs. Middlesbrough

Boro vs. Blackburn was the plum pick of Round 1, and I will confess that it often seems easier to pick the losers rather than the winners. Fulham's home form isn't stellar, but Boro are hopeless travellers and in Southgate they may have perhaps the most sat-upon manager in the entire league. A Fulham win is far from certain, but looks a fair bit more likely than the 2.10 odds for that may indicate. Another 2-1 in the making.

Reading vs. Everton

The toss-up of the week. Everton sit atop the table after good wins against Spurs and Wigan, but Reading have gone toe-to-toe with United and Chelsea and gave a good reckoning of themselves. One-all.

Spurs vs. Derby

Remember that part about picking losers? Spurs may be bottom, but they have not become relegation candidates overnight. A friend recently dismissed the Fink Tank's next-to-bottom ranking of England's No. 1 Paul Robinson among all players in the EPL, believing that it referred to another Paul Robinson with the same name, but a quick check reveals that the national teamer is indeed the one. They shouldn't be defending too much at home, however, and I can't see them messing up three times in a row.

Berbatov is out, though, and the 1.40 on the win seems awfully thin. 2-0 doesn't look out of place.

Newcastle vs. Aston Villa

I'm not too hot on betting on Newcastle, who seem to blow hot and cold, but Allardyce appears to be the right tonic for the inconsistent club. A single, if convincing, win against Bolton probably doesn't show the whole picture, but it was achieved playing away and I suppose the support at St. James' can't hurt. 2-0 to the Magpies.

There are quite a lot of decent options available, and Blackburn vs. Arsenal, the Manchester derby and Liverpool vs. Chelsea tomorrow all have the keep-away label on them, so I'll be using the full $100 inflow for the week today:

$30 on Newcastle to beat Villa (1.75)
$30 on Fulham to beat Boro (2.10)
$20 on Spurs (-1.5) vs. Derby (2.25)
$10 on Sunderland to beat Wigan (2.70)
$10 on Pompey to draw Bolton (3.25)



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