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Saturday, Aug 25, 2007 - 19:27 SGT
Posted By: Gilbert

Falling Further Behind

Status after Round 3: $254.40/$400 - Just as well I hedged a little something on the Pool-Chelsea draw, even though that came about by uninsured Act of Referee.

Round 4 of the EPL, Saturday 25 August 2007:

1. Sunderland vs. Liverpool
2. West Ham vs. Wigan
3. Bolton vs. Reading
4. Chelsea vs. Portsmouth
5. Arsenal vs. Man City
6. Aston Villa vs. Fulham
7. Derby vs. Birmingham
8. Everton vs. Blackburn

Sunderland vs. Liverpool

Can't see Sunderland nicking this one, after their bubble was burst in spectacular fashion versus Wigan. They face a Liverpool side whom were robbed of an important result against Chelsea, which would have put them in the driving seat for the first time in a decade. 1.40 looks very decent, and the 0-2 looks likely.

West Ham vs. Wigan

Wigan are on a high - can they scalp the Hammers too for a yummy 3.85 return? Beats me. Random guess - 1-1 draw.

Bolton vs. Reading

Reading have come good against Bolton in recent times and are at 2.80 for the win. Bolton are floundering, but are they really that bad? Possibly not, but their key man Anelka has seen better and is hardly the guy you want in troubled times. I call it 1-2 to Reading.

Chelsea vs. Portsmouth

At Stamford Bridge, Pompey shouldn't be worth a look, and the 1.23 odds for the Blues reflect that. For once though, the -1.5 option for Chelsea appears interesting. 3-1.

Arsenal vs. Man City

The bumbling Lehmann may be dropped, which is bad news for a City side looking down from the top of the table. 1-1 worth a look, as surely City can't continue in this vein forever.

Aston Villa vs. Fulham

Haven't watched much of either team at all, but home advantage should count here. 1-0 Villa.

Derby vs. Birmingham

Finally, a good price for going against Derby! For good reason, as Birmingham aren't the sharpest of nails either. At 2.70 though, they could be worth backing for the away win. Derby will see this as one of their best chances to take a few points, but it may be beyond them. 1-2 Birmingham.

Everton vs. Blackburn

All six New Paper tipsters called Everton to win this one, and frankly I'm unsure why they are so confident about it - Blackburn are a rather good side, as admitted by a high 2.05 for an Everton win. Perhaps their expertise should be trusted on this one. 1-0 Everton.

So... pulling an extra $50 from the virtual biscuit tin...

$90 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland (at 1.40)
$20 on Chelsea (-1.5) vs. Portsmouth (1.95)
$20 on Aston Villa to beat Fulham (1.70)
$20 on Birmingham to beat Derby (2.70)



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