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 As before, as again (Source: straitstimes.com) Not to worry, this blog's still alive, but updates have been sparse due to overdue progress on interpersonal matters (which should get caught up on to some degree, in following posts). The backlog of work has only grown after time out for a touch-up to the ICL surgery in March, though, so this will be a very brief observation on Twilight Struggle: New Moon, with respect to Cold War II being a "multifaceted game of strategy" as predicted back in May 2022. As always, readers are more than welcome to review our past analysis with the benefit of hindsight, and take stock of just how much has unfolded as projected.
Catching up on some life milestones...
Haven't picked up a softball/baseball bat since those CCA introductory sessions back in high school, but I can see how it can be fun. Note that the pitching machine is on maybe 70km/h (approximately 45mph) here, or easy mode. At about 112km/h (70mph) one can clearly hear the (admittedly dimpled practice ball) whoosh by (since the hit rate on those was probably less than one in five... for now), which puts the 100mph+ fastballs at the professional level in context. Should probably pack a pair of batting gloves for next time!
 It was just a joke, man... [N.B. Seems like the shooter researched JFK's assassination.] (Source: gizmodo.com) About concurrent with the FBI director not even being certain of whether the once and future POTUS had, in fact, been struck by a bullet (before figuring it out later), TRUMP has demonstrated his commitment to efficiency by promising the electorate that they won't have to vote ever again, if (when) he gets elected. What a time-saver, in keeping with the Roman timeline!  "It could never happen!" [N.B. I mean, what are you gonna do, Et tu Not that it hasn't just been tried already, mind...]
Coming alongside national guidelines on the generation of synthetic data, some possible applications: By Kuaishou's Kling AI, worthy Sora competitor Oh, and recall when "control of the rules" was discussed before Turn 12, Action Round 1 back in September 2022? BRICS is now being proposed* as an alternative rule maker in global governance - so, Blue Rulebook or Red Rulebook? [*Note explicit use of Twilight Struggle terms, "Control and Influence"; also, such concepts have been capitalized in previous posts for emphasis, just in case it was missed.]
History - and the promised interesting times - continues its relentless march, and given that everybody has probably seen that iconic photograph (already on T-shirts and tattoos within hours), this post will largely address the (conspiracy) theory that the attempted assassination was staged. Mind, this is hardly a fringe hypothesis, from how the obvious parallel with Chen Shui-bian's twenty years ago was immediately raised on local forums, with the former Taiwanese president chipping in. As a chap who's been through the whole conscription and rifle training shebang (and who's programmed an SAF range simulation back in 2011, for those interested) on much the same AR15 variant used (and actually paid for a refresher in Vegas a few months back), I daresay nobody's going to be particularly confident of hitting what amounts to maybe a quarter-inch target, from some 150 yards, Wild West legends included. Accuracy under optimal conditions appears to be closer to two inches at that distance, which largely rules out intentionally clipping an ear; a mere eighth of an inch to the right, and it could have been very different.  An inch as good as a mile [N.B. Video simulation also available] (Source: instagram.com) Discounting the more-outlandish assertions of our former WWE Hall of Famer GEOTUS blading himself as a second sharpshooter did the deed before finishing off the MKULTRA-ed patsy (shades of JFK here), one can almost attribute the outcome to divine providence, were there no other unfortunate victims (and lingering partisanship). Echoing Teddy Roosevelt, our Glorious Bull Merchant himself would duly attend an upbeat Republican National Convention the next day as scheduled, ear demurely bandaged, and announce J.D. Vance as his running mate. While rooting for Gabbard myself, Vance does make plenty of sense as a link to the Midwest and Middle America, before going into the savings involved* in retaining 80% of previous campaign signs (note the former VP and once-Republican leaders such as Bush, Romney, Cheney and Ryan all not attending, as TRUMP completes the realignment and rebirth of the GOP), and how it showcases GEOTUS's uncanny ability to convert non-believers, with Biden nearly going MAGA in the aftermath. As it is, TRUMP has already managed to get Taiwan to increase their defence budget as POTUS goes down with Covid instead - perhaps a sign from the Lord Almighty then? [*Also recalling the one red paperclip stunt, in which a blogger started by trading the eponymous paperclip for a pen in Vancouver, before working his way up to a truck (close enough?). The final trade from a film role to a farmhouse does seem a little abrupt, in the vein of apple-polishing jokes.]
Our new Prime Minister has kickstarted his tenure with declarations that Singaporeans should be able to define their own success, and exhorted local youths to "focus on mega trends rather than try to predict the next big thing". On the latter, I confess to not being sure as to what was the difference between a "mega trend" and the "next big thing", but fortunately the article would provide something of an explanation - "next big thing" equals "next big growth industry" (implied to be something that's not currently big, but could be), while "mega trend" refers to something that will shape the world (for the foreseeable future; i.e. something that's already big, and should continue being big) About this, one could almost sense the raw and unclosed wounds from our government's past non-successes at picking the next big thing, with IT and biotech being past focuses that have not quite paid off, leaving But seriously, this is not a knock on the government, not at all - given that there may be very interesting times ahead, it's entirely rational to cut them some slack, as compared to when we were merrily cruising along in a unipolar world - which brings us to The Second Greatest Game on Earth:  The loved ones are out in force, as hinted last week [N.B. There's a ready replacement able to drive in multiple ways anyway] (Source: x.com) Age gets the best of us, even someone as ground-breaking as the first black lady President of the United States, which has seen an outpouring of love from both private citizens and the corporate media, with the likes of The Atlantic, The Economist and the Washington Post all but begging Biden to withdraw and/or resign, after yet more incoherent interviews. The growing farce has raised some long-overdue soul-searching amongst observers, the most incisive of which was perhaps that either the Anyhow, the latest indication is that Biden is refusing to drop out against pressure from the Democratic party establishment, and in other, happier, circumstances, one might well applaud his gumption. However, with polls all but uniformly showing his support collapsing all over, with TRUMP now holding a near four percent advantage on average in the top battleground states - and this from polling that has consistently underestimated his support by about four percent in 2020 - one understands if Team Blue Democrats are panicking a little. I honestly don't think the usual censorship and gaslighting is going to salvage this one, and all that bellyaching about how democracy is done if TRUMP gets (re-)elected might just ring a bit hollow, when WaPo's own poll is reporting that voters are trusting TRUMP more than Biden on protecting democracy in the United States:  Well this is awkward [N.B. Despite Biden's protestations, Harris has overtaken him in the betting stakes, and is now at 5/1 to Biden's 7/1 to win the election; TRUMP is at 8/13, implying a win probability of some 62%, likely an underestimate.] (Source: washingtonpost.com) While there's scant indication that he needs the help right now, the Team Red GOP Vice-Presidential selection has suddenly taken on additional significance, and I am proud to report that my early-2020 endorsement of Tulsi Gabbard has been vindicated several times over, with the ultra-cool former Democrat stating that she would be honoured to join GEOTUS on the Republican ticket, which however was frankly always the obvious route for her, after (not inaccurately) denouncing the Dems as "an elitist cabal of warmongers" two years ago. One can hardly imagine a better specimen of rational and dutiful American womanhood to become the first - or is that second? - female POTUS in due course!
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