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Sunday, Aug 19, 2007 - 19:04 SGT
Posted By: Gilbert

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Teasers

Ran through the MNO textbook, and boy was it interdisciplinary as it admitted. From Psych alone there was the MBTI, stereotyping, attribution errors, self-fulfilling prophecies, primacy/recency effects, halo effects, projection bias, reinforcement learning, cognitive models, Maslow's need hierarchy, stressors etc etc.

From Computing, I recognized Brooks' Law and some software engineering examples, and the reading materials included a piece on decision-making traps. Some of the cultural intelligence stuff was already covered in Business and Technical Communication. Ah, and there's Dilbert, though the otherwise very likeable professor says he hates it. Maybe it's harder to take humour when it intrudes into your specialty.

Came across two "creative" puzzles for the first time in the MNO textbook:

1. Given two lengths of rope which take one hour to burn fully, but do not burn uniformly (i.e. one rope may take 10 minutes for half its length to be burnt, then 50 minutes for the other half), measure a period of 45 minutes.

Answer. The solution struck me only after a night.

2. Draw a circle within a circle as shown below, without lifting your pen.


Answer. Didn't get this one.

Mmmmm... some relaxing button-mashing before the football ranting.


Put The Big Red Button on your site

"Football. Bloody hell!" - Sir Alex Ferguson, 26 May 1999.

My sentiments exactly. Derby floundered as expected, but Boro somehow came back from a goal down, Newcastle huffed and puffed and spluttered out against Villa, while Wigan whipped Sunderland 3-0 and Portsmouth did Bolton in 3-1. I forget which forum it was where I read that football is a game of small margins, but now I can fully appreciate that. Teeny instances can and do affect the whole game. Maybe it's just glorified roulette with a larger ball and without the spinning disc.

It goes without saying that I would be far more pissed if I had ever really put any cash on my predictions.

A $59.60 deficit three rounds into the season can't be said to herald squeaking bums by any means, but my gut's singing out at me to take some desperate measures, beginning with the Manchester derby. Blackburn vs. Arsenal and Liverpool vs. Chelsea are both close to unbettable, but things get a bit different with the club you support.

I may be falling prey to confirmation bias here, since City have historically raised their game against their (better) red halves. Having said that, I wonder how schooled Sven and his new imports are in the cauldron of derby games, and United have not so much been lacking a cutting edge as a pointy tip - they slice through with regularity, but keep failing to apply that final touch.

So I invoke the dip-into-reserves rule here, and boldly put the farm on the Devils. The balls are cast.

$80 on Man Utd to beat Man City (at 1.78)
$20 on Liverpool to draw Chelsea (2.95)


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