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bert's blog v1.21 Powered by glolg Programmed with Perl 5.6.1 on Apache/1.3.27 (Red Hat Linux) best viewed at 1024 x 768 resolution on Internet Explorer 6.0+ or Mozilla Firefox 1.5+ entry views: 2547 today's page views: 66 (3 mobile) all-time page views: 3241707 most viewed entry: 18739 views most commented entry: 14 comments number of entries: 1213 page created Sun Apr 6, 2025 04:37:31 |
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- + hamsters - Got a few lingering tasks done today - did the sole Econs tutorial released so far, cleared up some more legacy issues from the summer job, booked my IPPT (ulp) for January, started reading up for the Game Development Lab 3 etc... The last (all-MCQ) midterm was returned, and on this one I got a rather average score. Some I could put down to not having gone through the notes ("top of ivory tower syndrome"), but getting the income and substitution effects confused was something I would have kicked myself over, had I been flexible enough. They were introduced in junior college, for beep's sake! Looking at the big picture, I probably shouldn't even be caring about these bits of carelessness; The main concern should be how dumb I am, all things considered. Doing pretty well in Economics as far as grades go is one thing, but then it's all been down to recycling a few key concepts. In the end, pretty much all I did was some combination of solving (admittedly sometimes tedious) simultaneous equations, performing basic differentiation, and applying Bayesian (read: common-sense) probabilities across most of my Economics modules, with some domain knowledge linking it all together. Nothing special at all. 
Worse, It'll probably be more of the same inadequacy in grad school. Cue old joke about mathematicians faced with canned food on a desert island beginning "First, assume a can opener..." (Source: PhD Comics) Some proofs in Game Theory were quite satisfying - I wouldn't have realised that first-price and second-price auctions differed so much in their theoretical underpinnings, though they do converge in cases where there is a large number of bidders (for one particular first-price equilibrium at least - the rigorous and complete derivation appears out of the scope of this module). Still, my speed at solving such questions isn't particularly impressive, and I'm ashamed to say that even moderately complex simultaneous equations are potentially draining for me - often, after a few steps in, my mind would be wandering onto what I could be doing instead (like conquering the world in Civ 4 on epic speed at gigantic map size). Oh, for that wonderful technical ability to be able to look at abstract symbols and manipulate them effortlessly! Then again, the history of science occasionally appears weird to me. For instance, algebra and counting numbers have been around for easily thousands of years, but a systematic study of probability came into being only about five hundred years ago. While it is difficult to believe that the ancients did not have an intuition about chance, it seems that none of them managed to relate it to fractions, or thought of them multiplying (i.e. an army is less likely to attack when it is raining, and less likely to attack when it is weak. The enemy army is weaker, and it is raining, so...) in any formal way. Indeed it is well known that Pascal introduced the notion of expected value (which by the way is sufficient to get through a lot of economical toy problems) only in the 1650s, thanks to a gambler friend. I suppose since proving a known result is almost always much easier than getting the result in the first place (related: P=NP), what seems so obvious from being commonly taught nowadays, might have taken a quite superhuman leap of intellect to originate. Imagination >>> Knowledge. Apart from this, there are other bothersome issues, chief among the non-FYP related ones being that of the hamsters. I thought that we were all best buddies after one of them presumably felt comfortable enough to relieve himself in my hand, but recently they have come to arbitrarily reject sunflower seeds again. It seems my post as official hamster food delivery guy has come up for grabs, but no fear: 
A campaign is in order (Effect from: Vectortuts) The fate of the civilized world will be determined in three days by the good people of America, but as I have a more important consideration in my FYP I regret that I will have to give it a miss. It would be entertaining if McCain scrapes out a come-from-behind victory, but the thought of Palin as Most Powerful Human on Earth in the not-improbable event that McCain passes on while in office is equal parts scary and hilarious. While we're at it, why not get Paris Hilton on the ticket too? Oh, and Obama knows Computer Science too. Should be worth some geek votes. Eked out a positive return on last week's play-predictions with Sunderland doing it over Newcastle (now up to $644.50/$900). Spurs incredibly came from 4-2 down in the last few minutes to consign Arsenal to a "4-4 defeat", which pulled Redknapp another few notches up in my estimation. Hull are somehow 12/1 outsiders to beat United despite being on top of them in the league table, with United again being quoted a 2.5 goal handicap. Singapore Pools must know that there are a lot of Man Utd fans/brandname consumers out there. Nothing especially exciting this week, and I don't feel like going with the usual Big Four wins, so I might as well let loose on some draws: $50 on Middlesbrough to draw West Ham (at 3.15) $25 on West Brom to draw Blackburn (3.15) $25 on Tottenham to draw Liverpool (3.20) Next: What I Do
C.Wenhoo said... the obama thing looks prepared leh...
gilbert said... huh? a politician being prepped? are you sure???
c.wenhoo said... you condescending fuck bastard (also c.fckbsd)
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