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bert's blog v1.21 Powered by glolg Programmed with Perl 5.6.1 on Apache/1.3.27 (Red Hat Linux) best viewed at 1024 x 768 resolution on Internet Explorer 6.0+ or Mozilla Firefox 1.5+ entry views: 314 today's page views: 60 (6 mobile) all-time page views: 3248207 most viewed entry: 18739 views most commented entry: 14 comments number of entries: 1215 page created Mon Apr 21, 2025 02:47:22 |
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Some pretty unprecedented economic measures have just been unleashed, with the Federal Reserve unleashing Infinite Quantitative Easing upon the world (you can watch the live video feed of furious money-printing from inside the Fed, appropriately accompanied by the soundtrack of GAS GAS GAS, given the simultaneous Oil Dumping War between Saudi Arabia & Russia, but more on that next time). On the fiscal side, a US$2 trillion stimulus package has also just passed, which includes a thousand bucks for every adult, that would seem to vindicate Andrew Yang's UBI (but not really - again, next time). Seeing as interest rates have already been slashed to essentially zero, the American authorities seem to have blown their load of countermeasures against a full-blown recession, less literally dumping bags of money out of helicopters. Well, looking at the charts and the horrendous earnings and jobs reports yet to drop, this ain't over by a long shot. I mean, let's get it straight here - India's 1.4 billion people have just entered a three-week lockdown, and America's case load appears to have just begun its exponential phase, for all of GEOTUS's much-appreciated cheerleading and emotional support, which has seen his approval ratings soar yet again even among his usual detractors, despite the FAKE NEWS. For the rest of us, the best way to contribute would seem to be just staying home. About this, you guys can totally depend fully on me here; I have trained my entire life for this, just for this eventuality. This is truly my time to shine! ![]() No need to thank us (Source: tapas.io) This said, as might have been inferred from the title, the meat of this blog post isn't actually about the financial markets or the coronavirus (for once). Rather, it's inspired by my briefing last week on being phased into the MINDEF Reserve on April 1st (no joke), which with any luck, should be my last National Service experience. Said briefing included a pitch for the ROVERS and Expertise Conversion Scheme for volunteers, which as the officer-in-charge was eager to emphasize, comes with the Captain-equivalent rank of ME4. Of course, it's not really the same thing, but they might get a few bites with that. My to-be exit from the system did have me recall the psychometric tests from my initial enlistment, and also some reflection on my time in the armed forces. Clearly, some personalities have it better in such environments than others, and while we're probably nowhere as harsh as say South Korea in this regard, the hierarchical, take-orders yes-sir culture can obviously be very hard on some, especially when dysfunctional. For enlisted ranks at least, encouraged behaviour would be akin to the Law of Jante, with the collective - even if misguided - above all. The MBTI It would then seem only natural for the system-designers to try and optimize organizational efficiency by slotting people where they best belong, which has been done to some extent through vocational sorting (with personal input beginning to enter consideration, from a few years back) via educational history and abovementioned psychometrics - which, however, would appear to be roughly equivalent to a logical/spatial intelligence test, like the U.S. military's ASVAB or AGCT. Coincidentally, reports have it that these tests will now be supplemented by a personality assessment (TAPAS), for the U.S. Army at least. Which brings us to the Myers-Briggs Type Indicator (MBTI). It was quite popular some twenty years ago when I was in high school - we all got typed then - and has by all accounts been humming along just fine, to the disgust of its many critics. But just to provide a brief overview, the MBTI is derived from Jungian cognitive theory, in particular that we operate based on four psychological preferences: Introversion/Extroversion, Sensing/iNtuition, Thinking/Feeling & Judging/Perception. Each individual supposedly prefers one quality from each of these four dichotomies, which gives sixteen distinct types: ![]() [N.B. Percentages and descriptions subject to debate] (Source: pinterest.com) There has been general disapproval for the MBTI by more-serious psych junkies due to its supposed lack of validity, poor reliability and forcing into dichotomies, with some sneering at it being no better than astrology, and recommending the Big Five model instead. About this, it could be noted that for all their supposed differences in focus (conscious vs. unconscious), there exist correlations between Big Five traits and MBTI preferences, with nascent research by Nardi on matching EEG scans with MBTI types. Bolder defenders of MBTI have even gone on the attack, by accusing the Big Five model of simply being a bunch of statistical correlations with no theory of mind behind it (which, by the way, can be interpreted as Te vs. Ti) We're clearly not going to be able to settle the argument of whether MBTI or the Big Five is superior here, or indeed delve into the many other options such as the Enneagram of Personality, Socionics (perhaps summarizable as a Russian variant of the MBTI) and the unavoidable extensions to the MBTI proper itself (one of the more popular of which might be the additional Assertive/Turbulent dichotomy). The main point here is whether the MBTI can be useful without being scientifically accurate, which I suppose it probably is, which is why it continues to be deployed by reputable organizations, including universities. One area in which MBTI surely beats the Big Five, one figures, is that the MBTI tells a story with its type descriptions, and allows fellowship with those of the same type (see dedicated subreddits, for instance). In contrast, with the Big Five, you get something like O - 73%, C - 28%, E - 19%, A - 80%, N - 26%; what the heck is that, some unholy mashup between Ocean's Eleven, SE7EN and a calculator? It certainly doesn't take much imagination to suppose that the military would be able to wring some value out of the MBTI, imperfect as it may be - consider two recruits whose abilities and intelligence are roughly average (from the ASVAB/AGCT or equivalent), but one is a clear extrovert, and the other a clear introvert. Then, it would suit all involved were the former to be sent to fill up an open slot in an infantry platoon, and the latter be tasked with solitary observational duties. Switch the postings, and you might have a deserter who couldn't stand being cooped up alone in a watchtower for hours at a stroke, and a mass shooter who's heard Jim's recounting of his drinking adventures one time too many. Of course, any leader worth his salt would have taken these personality differences into account, so think of standardized testing as a systematic first cut. China appears to be ahead of the curve here, having adopted a refined MBTI-G test, although there's also extant literature from the U.S. Marine Corps on how Thinkers and Judgers (TJs) dominate middle-grade to senior officer ranks, comprising 78% of those personnel despite being only about 30% of the general population. But back to the Chinese military, Kamphausen et al. (2008) reports that for the People's Liberation Army, "...the second part of the psychological evaluation involves passing a Chinese equivalent of the Myers-Briggs Type Indicator (MBTI) personality test. If the scores are too strongly skewed towards certain personality types, he or she must undergo 'discussions' about the makeup of their character". As it also happens, there also exists a healthy Chinese MBTI community, and facility with the language allowed a far deeper investigation of this quite fascinating tidbit. First, the actual guidelines were traced:
So there we have our answer, it seems: ENFP, INTJ and ISTP personalities have to go through further screening, and may be outright rejected if certain facets (N/F/P for ENFP, I/N for INTJ and I/P for ISTP, so it seems) are too extreme. The automatic first question must then be: why these three types exactly? On this, there has been much speculation on Chinese forums, such as Doubian and Zhihu, which might be interpreted thus:
Now, clearly every single type possibly has inclinations that are not best suited for the military; however, since the recruiters can't reject everybody, the point here would be to save the greatest amount of trouble with the least amount of shrinkage in the draftee pool (ENFP: ~10%, ISTP: ~6%, INTJ: ~2%, pulled-out-of-hat average from various sources). While we're at this, the rest of the types might as well be covered, from my accumulated impressions (of course, it's not terribly hard to test as whatever you want if you know what they're looking out for, but let's just say honesty's probably a good policy):
Anyway, that's another chapter of my life done with - regular programming is scheduled to make a return for the next post. Next: Quis Custodiet
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